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Reformatting Ukraine is on the agenda

3. June 2015

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Reformatting Ukraine is on the agenda

Latest horrible ceasefire violations in Donbass by the Kiev’s regime are likely intended to demonstrate the “inefficiency” of the OSCE mission to its Western patrons and are evidence of Ukraine’s attempts to circumvent the jurisdiction of the Minsk truce co-brokered by Russia, Germany, and France. Indeed, Minsk-2 is very inconvenient for Poroshenko, because it documents […]

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25. August 2015

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Who is doing the saber-rattling in Eastern Europe?

By Vladimir KOZIN (Russia)

Who is doing the saber-rattling in Eastern Europe?

Last week, NATO headquarters announced Exercise Swift Response-15, the largest Allied airborne training event on the European continent since the end of the Cold War. About 5,000 soldiers from 11 countries in the alliance will take part in the maneuvers, which will last until Sept. 13. This is neither the first nor the last drill […]

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19. August 2015

2 Comments

The Real Reason Why Russia Is Destroying Sanctioned EU Food

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

The Real Reason Why Russia Is Destroying Sanctioned EU Food

President Putin’s late-July decree to destroy all sanctioned EU foodstuffs caught at the Russian border has incited a flurry of backlash, even among some typically Russian-friendly foreign journalists. Russia Insider’s Danielle Ryan, for example, documents not only instances of domestic criticism over the initiative, but also personally laments that it’s “wrong” and “not right”. It’s […]

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15. August 2015

5 Comments

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (IV)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (IV)

(Please read Part I, Part II, and Part III prior to this concluding piece) All of the previously acquired information from the three earlier parts allows one to form four phased scenario forecasts that help predict the contours and consequences of the US-Iran and Russia-Saudi Arabia ‘reorientations’. The first one is essentially a reading of […]

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15. August 2015

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Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (III)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (III)

(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article)  Perceptions & Motivations The third part of the series deals with the perceptions and motivations behind the possible polar reorientations. Much can be discussed in terms of these broad topics, but for comprehension’s sake, they’re split into eight separate themes: Energy Market Disruptor: Iran […]

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14. August 2015

4 Comments

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (II)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (II)

(Please read Part I before this article) The second part of the article series speaks upon the Russian-Saudi relationship that’s emerging in the Mideast, and it proves that it’s really not all that surprising in retrospect when one considers the motivating factors (energy, ISIL, and the Iranian deal) that affect both sides. US-Saudi Energy Scheme […]

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14. August 2015

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Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (I)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Polar Reorientation In the Mideast (US-Iran)? (I)

Political developments are moving extraordinarily fast in the Mideast nowadays, with Russian and American diplomacy being the primary catalysts. Moscow has teamed up with Tehran to kick-start a new round of Syrian reconciliation talks, and it’s working with Riyadh in an effort to get the latter to agree to its inclusive (Syrian-government-incorporating) anti-ISIL initiative and […]

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11. August 2015

3 Comments

Strategic scenarios surrounding prolonged Kurdish insurgency in Turkey (II)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Strategic scenarios surrounding prolonged Kurdish insurgency in Turkey (II)

(Please read Part I before this article) Strategic Scenarios Having grasped an understanding of the geostrategic imperatives motivating the four main state actors most directly involved in and affected by the Kurdish insurgency, it’s now time to put everything together in forecasting a few of the most likely scenarios that this explosive mix can result […]

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10. August 2015

4 Comments

Strategic scenarios surrounding prolonged Kurdish insurgency in Turkey (I)

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Strategic scenarios surrounding prolonged Kurdish insurgency in Turkey (I)

Erdogan’s War on the Kurds has opened up yet another Pandora’s Box in the Mideast, with it looking ever more likely that the current conflict isn’t just a flash in the pan, but rather the first stages of a protracted campaign by both sides. The first part of the article argues that this is indeed […]

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7. August 2015

Why did the US incinerate Japanese cities in 1945?

By ORIENTAL REVIEW

Why did the US incinerate Japanese cities in 1945?

Seventy years ago, the atomic bombs known as Little Boy and Fat Man were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. In Hiroshima about 90,000 people were killed immediately; another 40,000 were injured, many of whom died in protracted agony from radiation sickness. Three days later, a second atomic strike on the city of Nagasaki killed some […]

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6. August 2015

Sad Nuclear Anniversary

By Brian CLOUGHLEY (USA)

Sad Nuclear Anniversary

On 1 September 1939 – the date of the beginning of the Second World War – the President of the United States of America, Franklin D. Roosevelt, wrote to «the Governments of France, Germany, Italy, Poland and His Britannic Majesty» saying that «The ruthless bombing from the air of civilians in unfortified centres of population […]

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6. August 2015

8 Comments

Erdogan’s ‘Erratic’ Behavior Explained

By Andrew KORYBKO (USA)

Erdogan’s ‘Erratic’ Behavior Explained

Turkey has been acting pretty erratic these past couple of weeks, launching a surprise dual offensive in Syria and Iraq, condemning Russia for alleged ‘oppression’ against the Crimean Tatars, and suspending the Balkan Stream pipeline negotiations. All of this is somewhat unexpected – after all, Turkey had thus far refrained from the US’ pleas to […]

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5. August 2015

4 Comments

Willy Brandt followers call for a new European approach to the crisis in Ukraine

Willy Brandt followers call for a new European approach to the crisis in Ukraine

A couple of weeks ago a group of influential German figures, the members of Willy Brandt Circle, have signed an Open Letter to SPD (German Social-Democrats) Bundestag delegates and cabinet ministers urging them to abandon the confrontational course in relations with Russia. The authors reviewed the degrading EU-Russia ties in the context of Ukraine’s crisis […]

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