Assad’s successes and the decline of the Arab Spring

US and EU flirting with radical islamists and terrorists in the Middle East has gone too far. The Arab Spring, which had blasted the secular regimes of the Maghreb  met its failure in Syria.

In spite of all the efforts  taken by the mainstream western media to conceal the acts of violence  under civilian population committed by the forces of opposition, the real face of that opposition appeared. Defeated on the battlefront,  militants have wreaked their anger on defenseless people. The world was shocked by reports of numerous massacres  in Jisr Al-Shugur, province of Idleb, village Hatla in Deir Al-Zor, in the region of Khan al-Assal in Halab. The shooting of 450 women, children and  the olds from local Kurdish community of Tal Abyad in Rakka has shattered all the doubts: events in Syria is not a civil war but the war the Syrian government conducts on international terrorism and extremism, enjoying support from the West.

It will be difficult for the American leaders to explain to the international community and the voters the way US have become allies with Al-Qaida. The cynicism of the West was revealed when Brigadier General John Wright, which had been fighting terrorism in Afghanistan , was appointed to lead US operations in Syria, so that now he is in charge of training for Syrian militants in Jordan.

oppositionHowever, without direct military intervention, rebels are losing the chances to win with every day to come. At the meeting with US State Secretary John Kerry, Akhmad al-Jabra, the President of Syrian National coalition of revolutionary and opposition forces, declared that  “The situation in Syria is now desperate”. Step by step, region by region the governmental forces are restoring peace in the country. Even in Homs, one of rebels’ strongholds, governmental forces are firmly holding the initiative and recapturing strategic districts. The fundamental change in the Syrian conflict has already happened and there were several assisting factors.

Fed up with lawlessness in the land, Syrians lay down their arms to return to their homes and families, while some even reenter the armed forces and the police in order to protect their relatives and their motherland as well. As some ex-militants are saying, Syria has no future under extremists.

The war on radical islamists has united Shia of Iran, Iraq and Lebanon, which had sided with the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Palestinian refugees have dislodged the militants from refugees’ camp Yarmouk near Damascus.

On the other side, the coalition of the opposition appears to be split, and violent internal conflict is taking place. At least 12 armed groups declares their separation from Dar al-Jabal brigade of Free Syrian Army, protesting against linking with Al-Qaida and killing civilians.

The Syrian Kurds move surprised the West and especially Turkey. Continuing support for the militants together with internal unrest and aggravation of the Kurdish question may result in territorial disintegration of Turkey. Syrian opposition lost yet one more ally with the removal of the Muslim Brotherhood and Mohhamed Moursi .

European financial crisis and pressure from the side of Russia and China prevent the West from direct military intervention in Syria, while the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Qatar are not able of predetermining the outcome of the conflict.

Governmental forces’ final victory is a question of time. From recent statements of Bashar al-Assad it is obvious that there is no chance of pardon for the extremists. It may well be so that the syrian conflict will become an example of the victory of the state and the people over international terrorism. In such a case US and Europe may find themselves in front of other problem – creation of new terrorism centres by the remaining militants lured by the West fleeing from Syria.

Farhad Hashemi is a freelance journalist from the UK. He runs the blog DebatableOpinion on The Telegraph.

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  1. Pingback: I successi di Assad e il declino della primavera araba - Stato & Potenza

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