Will Vietnam Turn The “Quad” Into The “Quint”?

A US aircraft carrier recently docked in Vietnam for the first time since the American military withdrawal in 1975.

This hitherto unprecedented move in the post-war relations between the US and the ASEAN-member state is clearly intended as a signal towards China, with whom Vietnam is involved in a contentious dispute over the South China Sea and the attendant energy resources underneath its waters. Hanoi no longer regards Washington as an enemy, but an unofficial ally because of the Pentagon’s willingness to help the country boost its naval military capacities in order to offset China’s advantages in this field. While not much of substance has been achieved on this front, the future is indeed very promising, and it’s likely that Vietnam could play some role – however informal – in the so-called “Quad” between the US, Japan, Australia, and India in “containing China”.

The country boasts a highly strategic location and has both maritime and mainland borders with China, which makes it ideal for the “Quad” to include in its framework to the point of de-facto becoming the “Quint” if Vietnam is fully integrated into this developing military integrational platform. Beijing already feels uneasy about New Delhi’s creeping role in its backyard, which some Indian commentators claim is “payback” for what China is doing in South Asia, so getting to the point where the US, Japan, and also Australia are regulars in this space as well would definitely put the People’s Republic on the strategic defensive. The risk, however, is that China will more assertively defend its maritime claims in the region in the face of foreign provocations from the “Quint”, which might lead to a tense standoff one of these days.

In fact, a so-called “controlled escalation scenario” might be exactly what the “Quad” is hoping to achieve in generating a low-intensity crisis as a means of “justifying” the incorporation of Vietnam into this multilateral military partnership, though this could of course spiral out of control real fast and lead to a dangerous situation. It’s too early to tell at this point if that’s exactly what’s being planned for the coming future, but nevertheless, the takeaway is that Vietnam’s interest in deepening its naval cooperation with the US serves as a means of doing so with the whole “Quad” as well, and that could have unpredictable consequences for the bloc’s relations with China.

The post presented is the partial transcript of the CONTEXT COUNTDOWN radio program on Sputnik News, aired on Friday Mar 9, 2018:

 

DISCLAIMER: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution. 

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12 Comments
  1. So, Vietnam is willing to work with a nation that divided the country and killed 2 million people just to ‘contain’ China. The US treated Vietnamese women as whores. US dropped so much agent orange and turned countless kids in retards and cripples. And now, Jewish-controlled US spreads the filth of Homomania into Vietnam.

    But Vietnam allies with the US. Did Vietnam fight so hard to win liberation to be Uncle Sam’s whore again?

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  12. samir sardana

    Indians have NO LOCUS IN SCS in Vietnam.So what do they do ?

    They have a JV with PVN and ONGC in SCS to find gas in disputed waters – inviting the PLN and Chinese trawlers – to attack !

    What is the dream sequence ?

    The Indians conned the Vietnamese into believing the mythical skills of the Indian Ape Navy !

    So in 2013,the Indians started training the Viets in “intensive” submarine and underwater warfare training in Indian Navy’s submarine school INS Satavahana in Vishakapatanam ! dindooohindoo

    The target was the PLN !

    What was the outcome ?

    In less than 3 months,INS Sindhurakshak an Indian N-Sub BLEW up,in Dry Dock ? If it had been in the Pen – the entire sub fleet would have been wiped out (But that is left to the PLN).Has this EVER happened in any nation – even in WW 2 ?

    Then 2 years ago,India’s USD 3 billion nuclear-powered submarine,INS Arihant,was flooded with Sea Water !
    SEA WATER ! Not Heavy Water !

    THE VIETS AND INDIANS ARE MADE FOR EACH OTHER !

    Then in 2020,the IAF decided to TRAIN THE VIET AIR FORCE IN SUKHOIS ! SUKHOIS ! This is when the Sukhois of the IAF were brought down by Chinese EMP near the Chinese border !

    It is the destiny of doon which has brought together India and Vietnam !

    Let them perish together !

    What was the spiel sold to the Viets by the Indians ?

    Spiel 1 – There was a Hindoo Champa Kingdom in Central Vietnam ,a long time ago ! It is True ! SO WHAT ?

    Spiel 2 – There are Shiva Phallic temples STILL in Central Vietnam ! It is True ! But SO WHAT ?

    Spiel 3 – The Story of Ramayana exists in Vietnam also ! BUT RAMA TOOK 12 YEARS TO MAKE A BRIDGE TO LANKA TO SAVE HIS WIFE ! HE DID NOT USE A NAVY ! AND HIS ARMY AND THE MEN WHO MADE THE BRIDGE WERE ALL APES ! The Viets DID NOT read the Ramayana ! Y DID RAMA NOT USE THE NAVY ? THE VEDAS SAY THAT HINDOOS SHOULD “NOT CROSS THE SEA” NOR GO UNDER THE SEA NOR FLOAT ON THE SEA !

    Y ? Read the news on INS Sindhurakshak !

    What is Vietnam ? The manufacturing which is UNVIABLE in PRC (due to cost and pollution and hazardous operations) gets OUTSOURCED to Vietnam.That is the TRUTH ! What is the cost of this LOW END MANUFACTURING AND AGENT ORANGE ? The entire industry of the Viets and a bulk of the population is NEAR the sea coast.The sea coast is receding and if PLN detonates a few Nukes underwater in the SCS,at the right time – Vietnam will cease to exist.

    If PRC can cause Art Rain – then to CAUSE A TSUNAMI in the middle of a TYPHOON,is easy cake,using SCALAR and other weapons.That will also take care of the ONGC rigs in the SCS and all the standing ships in dock,and subs in pens.

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