India And Pakistan Rattle Their Nuclear Sabres

While Americans were obsessing over a third-rate actor’s fake claims of a racial assault, old foes India and Pakistan were rattling their nuclear weapons in a very dangerous crisis over Kashmir. But hardly anyone noticed that nuclear war could break out in South Asia.

India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed, have fought four wars over divided Kashmir since 1947, the lovely mountain state of forests and lakes whose population is predominantly Muslim. India controls two thirds of Kashmir; Pakistan and China the rest. This bitter dispute, one of the world’s oldest confrontations, has defied all attempts to resolve it.

The United Nations called on India to hold a plebiscite to determine Kashmir’s future, but Delhi ignored this demand, knowing it would probably lose the vote.

Muslim Kashmiris have been in armed revolt against harsh Indian occupation since the 1980’s. Some 70,000 civilians, mostly Muslims, have died to date. Today, India stations a million soldiers and paramilitary forces in Kashmir to repress popular demands by Muslim Kashmiris for either union with neighboring Pakistan or an independent Kashmiri state.

India’s human rights groups accuse Delhi of grave human rights violations, including torture, murder, rape and collective punishment. Delhi says it is protecting Kashmir’s Hindus and Sikhs from Muslim reprisals, and blames the uprising on what it calls ‘cross border terrorism’ initiated by old enemy, Pakistan.

Last week, a Kashmiri ‘mujahidin’ rammed his explosive-laden car into a bus filled with paramilitary Indian troops at Pulwama, killing over 40 and provoking outrage across India.

Unable to crush the decades-old uprising in Kashmir, India threatens major reprisal attacks on Pakistan. However, Kashmir is mountainous, offering poor terrain for India’s overwhelming superiority in tanks and artillery. So Indian commanders have long pressed Delhi to allow them to attack further south on the flat plains of Punjab.

Powerful Indian armored strike corps are poised to slice into vulnerable Pakistan and chop it up into pieces. India has also considered heavy air strikes into Pakistani Punjab and even a naval blockade to cut off Pakistan’s oil imports.

Outnumbered and outgunned six to one by India, Pakistan has developed a potent arsenal of nuclear weapons that can be delivered by aircraft, short and medium-ranged missiles and artillery. Pakistan says it will riposte almost immediately with tactical nuclear weapons to a major Indian attack. Both sides’ nuclear forces are on a hair-trigger alert, greatly increasing the risks of an accidental nuclear exchange.

More detail on this threat scenario may be found in my ground-breaking book on the region’s many dangers, ‘War at the Top of the World.’ Rand Corp estimated a decade ago that an Indo-Pak nuclear exchange would kill two million immediately and 100 million in ensuing weeks. India’s and Pakistan’s major water sources would be contaminated. Clouds of radioactive dust would blow around the globe.

India is deeply frustrated by its inability to crush the independence movement in Kashmir, labeling it ‘terrorism.’ True enough, Pakistan’s crack intelligence service, ISI, has links to the many Kashmiri mujahidin groups. But the uprising is also due to often brutal, corrupt Indian rule over Kashmir and the desire by Muslims for self-rule. As I have often written, every people has a god-given right to be misruled by their own people.

Kashmir disputedRight now, India is debating a major punitive strike against Pakistan. India national elections are imminent. The Hindu nationalist government in Delhi fears being accused of being soft on Pakistan. It was during a similar crisis in the 1980’s that Pakistan’s tough leader, Gen. Zia ul-Haq, flew to Delhi in a surprise visit and averted a war being planned by India.

If India does launch attacks they will likely be large in scale and involve heavy use of tactical air power. If units on either side become bogged down in fighting, commanders may call for the use of tactical nuclear weapons. Far outgunned Pakistan has been clear about such recourse. The urge to be first to strike with nuclear arms will be powerful.

Once again, the bitter Kashmir dispute endangers the rest of the world. The great powers should be pressing both India and Pakistan to reach a compromise on this problem. But India has long opposed internationalization of the issue, saying it is a domestic Indian matter. It is difficult to imagine the current Hindu nationalist government in Delhi backing down over Kashmir. But India must be very cautious because behind Pakistan stands its ally China which shares a long, often poorly-defined border with India. Kashmir, not Korea, is the world’s most dangerous border.

Source: the author’s blog

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2 Comments
  1. Both India and Pakistan are populated too much by low-IQ masses. In Pakistan, this is complicated by their tribal custom of consanguineous marriage, giving rise to a high proportion of birth defects; and a Jihadist ideology of political Islam. While India is moving toward a political Hinduism that it applies mainly against Pakistan, a much softer target than China.

    Both are descending into a Hobbesian equilibrium, toward an estate of nature that cannot possibly maintain current high population densities. The current situation resembles a Hobbesian trap and this might be avoided if the Nash equilibrium prevails. China is in a position to be an arbiter and could prevent either side from going too far. A role that Britain could have played, had they remained.

  2. samir sardana

    The Pulwama is a Fool(ed) the Awam of India ! It is a CLASSIC FALSE FLAG ATTACK by the Indians with Israeli SOP

    False Flags by the Hindoo state in IOK

    The “so called terror attacks”,in IOK (Indian Occupied Kashmir),are ALL false flag operations ,carried out by the Indian Army,and the RAW – with the primary aims,of keeping IOK,under a perpetual state of curfew, denial of rights,AFSPA – and maligning the Pakistani State,and the Pakistani People.dindooohindoo

    AK-47

    The freedom struggle is IOK,is obviously supported by their people,from across the border in AK (Azad Kashmir) – who cross the border into IOK,to support and arm,the freedom struggle – against an obvious injustice – which has umpteen precedents,in Pre and Post Abrahamic wars.

    The Indian DNA

    Indians are a primitive,backward,heathen and menial race of depraved,debauched and pillaged limpets – who derive sadistic satisfaction and retribution,w.r.t. the genocide inflicted,on the Kashmiri people.They do not have the intellectus,to see through the juvenile,but nefarious designs,of the draconian Indian state – which is evidenced by,the history of slavery and servility,of the Indian People,to the Sakas,Sythians,Huns,Chinese,Afghans,Turks,Abysinians and the British.

    Fool-wama and IED-C

    The Fool-wama attack,was an “archetypical false flag operation” – mastered by the Indian state – in IOK,and the Naxal dominated jungles.The advantage of the “IED Cinderella (IED-C)”,is that,it can be used by the state to inflate the death count,and no one comes at the site (for photos and forensics) – as it is in a terror zone,and the state claims that the site has to be preserved,for state operated forensics,photos,investigation and DNA analysis.In some cases,the state claimed,that the site was compromised/damaged,due to weather/rainfall !

    The 2nd advantage of the IED-C,is that the dead bodies are in pieces and mangled – and so,the Indian State can pass off anybody’s dead body,as that of a soldier.This makes the post mortem and DNA cover up, by the forensics – easy – as multiple bodies are blown to smithreens.

    The 3rd advantage of the IED-C is that – in the case of Naxals – the state claims that it cannot patrol every inch of roads and pass ways in jungles – even with Satellite cover.In addition,in IOK and Naxal areas,it is easy to explain the use of IEDs,by stating that it was stolen from mining and construction activities.

    HOWEVER,in Fool-wama – RDX was used – which is not used ,in Mining or Fishing or Diwali ! It was packed in a vehicle,which drove for kilometers,on the wrong direction of the 1 way-road,in the early morning hours – and crossed,2 manned checkposts ! It can be assumed,that there was a drone,in front of the military convoy – which failed to detect the IED packed vehicle ! This is Cinderella,in a vehicle !

    The families of the dead soldiers – did not see the dead bodies or the faces of the soldiers – they were burnt WITH the Wooden coffins or extracted and burnt with the white cloth coffin wrapped.No one know whose body was cremated – or if it was a human !

    Single Kill Attacks

    Freedom fighters from AK (Azad Kashmir) whose war started from 1947 – will obviously use AK-47s,as 47 is a perfect prime number.

    Sample these kills where multiple Indian Army officers,were killed by the Freedom fighters.These are not sniper or IED hits.It is a close combat encounter !

    https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/colonel-major-among-5-personnel-killed-in-jks-handwara/article31493302.ece
    https://www.livemint.com/news/india/3-crpf-soldiers-killed-in-kashmir-after-terrorists-open-fire-11587219061392.html

    How can 18-21 year olds,trained for 3-6 months,kill Indian Army officers,at will and escape ? Of course,Indians are a race of wimps and cowards,as per many,but this is beyond the pathetos of insanity.

    This is also a false flag,as the dead bodies are those of wimps killed in military exercises or firing ranges of accidental discharges/ explosions.Immediately, after the fake killing, the Indian media starts hyper-vitriol-ling,and then,the Indian Army gets some dead bodies of Kashmiris (killed in torture),and passes them off,as terrorists,killed in revenge.

    The Post mortem report of the Indian army is not available to the public – along with the videos of the post mortem – as that will blow apart the bogus story.On top of that the Indian Army,also uses the AK-47 !

    Another innovation of the Indian,is that the dead bodies decomposed (in the snow !) or were eaten by animals,or were disfigured by the Pakistanis ! This is also done by the Indian state, to ensure that the family DOES NOT SEE THE FACE or the DEAD BODY,of the soldiers.

    This completes the false flag – and it is a juvenile methodology (Made By Israel),but it works,as Indians and the Indian Media,are Duds and Dullards.

    Y not Delhi and Mumbai

    No one asks – Y can the Pakistani state not do the “so called terror attacks”,in Delhi or Mumbai ? It is simple ! False Flag attacks cannot be done in Delhi and Mumbai -as there are 40 million witnesses !

    That is Y the 26/11 false flag did not recur – and all the police officers – who led the Indian military assault,were killed,at close range, and their post mortem reports are an “unknown quantity”.

    Y Indians do these antics

    Besides the 1.2 billion Indian Duds – no one else believes the Indian Cinderella stories.So Y do they do it ?

    The Chrono-metrics

    The timing of the dubious false flags,by the Indians,are coordinated with the following Chronologies,related to the Pakistani state,listed as under :

    FATF Meetings and decisions – for interim or other relief,to the Pakistani state
    UNSC/OIC /GCC meetings – for anti-pakistan resolutions,or declaring someone a terrorist Polls In India – Pre-election period in India – if the state wants to turn the tide
    US Senate hearings – for anti-pakistan resolutions or declaring someone a terrorist,or castigating the Kashmiri freedom struggle
    UNHRC reports and hearings – same as above
    UN Observer meetings and reports in Kashmir – to create disturbances,to obviate the meetings and reports
    IMF and WB aid meetings – To ensure that Pakistan gets no aid,or no relief,in the aid terms
    Saudi/Kuwait/Turkish/Malaysian aid and trips to Pakistan – same as above
    CPEC financial and technical closure dates – to ensure that the political and financial risk,of the project is imperiled

    If you map the above chronology,with the dates of the “false flag attacks” – they will just precede the chronology,by a maximum of 21 days – just,as a matter of pure providence.

    Naturally,all the plans of the Indians have failed – the Kashmiris of IOK and AK,are mortal enemies of the Indians – and a new axis of Pakistan-PRC-Turkey,has been formed.In due course,it will be joined by Russia,and perhaps the Saudis.

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