The fall of Kabul is leading to terrible scenes of flight and despair. Let’s leave aside the fact that the fleeing people are mostly not peaceful translators from Western embassies, but collaborators in the US counter-insurgency with blood dripping from their hands. What we are seeing is a debacle that should make us lose faith in the power of ’America’.
51% of Americans disapprove of President Joe Biden’s foreign policy.
60% particularly disapprove of his policy towards Afghanistan
63% say the war was not worth fighting.
Almost all Americans who fought in Iraq are very shocked.
Yet, at worst, it is clear that Washington knew perfectly well that the Afghan army would not stand up to the Taliban, who were theoretically three times less numerous and much less well equipped. The West Point CTC published a study in January to predict this catastrophe. The question was not whether the Taliban would win, but when President Biden would let them win.
The US-Taliban negotiations, which have dragged on for years and were suddenly concluded by President Biden, must be interpreted as a voluntary surrender of power to the Taliban. One wonders why it took hundreds of thousands of deaths, astronomical sums of money and the efforts of four successive presidents for Washington to drive the Taliban out of Kabul and then back in; and why President Biden decided to assume the role of the defeated.
The same misunderstanding arose when the Baker-Hamilton Commission led to the US withdrawal from Iraq and the then Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld, unhesitatingly assumed the role of the vanquished; a misunderstanding that still persisted three months ago when Rumsfeld died.
It is time to stop listening to the politicians and and to read the military. Politicians only tell us what we can accept to hear. We are always on the right side and we will only die for Democracy. The military, on the other hand, does not try to seduce us, but to understand what is expected of them. So they do not write to flatter our illusions, but expose the unvarnished truth.
As I have explained many times, in the days following the 9/11 attacks, the US Army published an article by Colonel Ralph Peters stating that the US no longer needed to win wars, but to organise instability in certain regions of the world, particularly in the ’broader Middle East’. He went on to say that states would have to be recomposed along ethnic lines, i.e. separating mixed peoples, and that this could only be done through ethnic cleansing and other crimes against humanity. He ended his presentation by assuring that the Pentagon could always delegate its powers to mercenaries to do the dirty work. In the excitement of 9/11, no one picked up on this article openly claiming to be preparing for heinous crimes.
Five years later, Ralph Peters published the map that the Joint Chiefs of Staff were working on in 2001. A panic ensued among all the military leaderhip in the wider Middle East: no one was protected, not even the US allies. Various changes of alliance followed. But it was not until 2011 and the attack on Libya (then a US ally) that we saw what was happening.
Since then, we have seen that the war in Afghanistan, which was supposed to last until Osama bin Laden fled, has lasted for 20 years; that the war in Iraq, which was supposed to last until the fall of President Saddam Hussein, has lasted for 17 years; that the war in Libya, which was supposed to last until the fall of Muamar Gaddafi, has lasted for 10 years; that the war in Syria, which was supposed to last until the fall of President Bashar al-Assad, has lasted for 10 years. Moreover, we have seen Al Qaeda (historically a creation of the CIA) and Daesh (historically a creation of Ambassador John Negroponte) commit crimes against humanity all along the lines announced by Colonel Ralph Peters. And we know that these terrorist organisations are funded, armed and supervised by the British and the Americans.
Yes, the “endless war” declared by President George W. Bush is not about “fighting terrorism”, but about using terrorism to “destabilise” an entire region. This was the title of Colonel Peters’ article in 2001: “Stability: America’s enemy”.
This being the case, we must reinterpret the fall of Kabul in the light of this new strategy. For two years, in 2002-03, Admiral Arthur Cebrowski went to explain it in all the US military academies. He met all the current US general officers. This strategy was popularised for the general public by Cebrowski’s assistant, Thomas Barnett -although his book has not been translated.
The fall of Kabul fulfils the central objective of this strategy on the condition that the Taliban do not succeed in establishing a stable regime -and without allies they will not be able to do so-. The escape of the US counterinsurgency collaborators, if they manage to pass themselves off as peaceful translators, will allow terrorism to spread in the countries that will receive them. This is already being denounced by President Vladimir Putin. The transfer of military equipment given to the Afghan army in the hands of the Taliban will allow them to attack their neighbours. Unlike Daesh, the Taliban already have a biometric file of almost their entire population and an air force with a fleet of over 200 fighter planes. The war in Central Asia will therefore be even more terrible than the war in the wider Middle East.
Last but not least. Some commentators believe that Washington has abandoned Afghanistan in order to create problems for Russia and China. This is not the Rumsfeld/Cebrowski strategy at all. According to the latter, we should not fight these great powers, but rather turn them into clients. They should be helped to exploit Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria and many others, but only under the protection of the US army.
Understand, Washington no longer thinks like a rival of the Roman Empire, but like a racketeer. It does not build triumphal arches to its glory anywhere and even accepts that its president, Joe Biden, is defeated in Afghanistan. It seeks to dominate the world in the shadows and to make as much money as possible.
You think I’m imagining a doomsday scenario? Then tell me where the flaw is in my argument!
Source: Voltaire Network
“How Can Afghanistan Satisfy China’s Insatiable Appetite For Rare Earths” and use REE (Rare Earth Elements) as a tool in diplomacy and strategic negotiations with the West
Besides EV and Renewables,the real edge in Rare earths in space,military and stealth technology. That will give the edge of PRC over the US Navy and USAF and the US Missiles and BMD.
That is the CRUX ! EV and Renewables is just a DIVERSION !
China and Taliban are made for each other – just like Adam and Eve ! No nation in the world can invest in Kabul even if the US and UN recognises the Taliban ! Too much political risk so no funding is possible !
US recognises Iran and DPRK – but no US company can trade or deal with these nations.
Same for NATO allies,w.r.t Kabul.Unlike Iran,where the French and Germans,cut deals with Iran – Kabul – will not be possible !
So the only nation which can FUND and DEVELOP,the Rare earths,in Afghanistan,is PRC !
THAT BECOMES THE BASIS FOR THE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP,OF TALIBAN AND PRC.XINJIANG IS A PRETEXT !
ONCE RARE EARTH MINING STARTS – THAT WILL BECOME THE BASIS FOR PLA AND THE PRC ADS AND BMD,IN AFGHANISTAN !
AND THIS SPINS THE CPEC ON ITS HEAD,IN COVID TIMES ! RARE EARTH CARTELISATION BY PRC WILL PUSH PRICES – MAKING DOWNSTREAM USERS UNVIABLE – EXCEPT THE CHINESE OWNED UNITS IN CPEC – WHO WILL MANUFACTURE FOR EXPORTS ! SO THE COMMERCIAL RARE EARTHS USED FOR LITHIUM BATTERIES AND PERMANENT MAGNETS ETC.- WILL MOVE TO CPEC !
FOR THE CHINESE MILITARY AND SPACE PROGRAM – THE RARE EARTHS WILL COME TO PRC,FROM AFGHANISTAN DIRECTLY !
FOR THIS GRATUITY – WHAT SHOULD TALIBAN DEMAND ? A STAKE IN CPEC – WHICH “IT HAS GOT” ! THIS PROVES THE ACUMEN OF THE TALIBAN !
THERE IS ONLY 1 NATION DOOMED BY TALIBAN ! IT IS INDIA ! FROM CHABAHAR TO CPEC NOW BEING VIABLE AND THE DEAD LOSS OF INDIAN INVESTMENTS !
US HAS LOST SOME FACE – BUT WILL SAVE BILLIONS EVERY YEAR !
Pakistan should be involved in the PRC rare earth mining,in Afghanistan – so that they climb the learning curve fast – and then replicate,in Balochistan !
CPEC HAS 1 MORE ADVANTAGE FROM THE POINT OF SUPPLY CHAIN DEXTERITY – w.r.t Rare Earths mining in Balochistan – which will free Afghan capacities,for direct export,to PRC,Russia and nations,which support Taliban !
PRC has to do 1 more thing ! Bring Taliban into SCO,and kick out the Indians ! Indians are an obsolete misfit in SCO – and their presence makes NO SENSE,after their Quad forays !
QUAD = ANTI – PRC !
Like I always said – History,Providence and Prophecy are fulfilling the Ghazwa E Hind alliance of PRC,Taliban,Pakistan,Iran and Turkey ! dindooohindoo
The PRC and Taliban AXIS,will also,assuage the Pakistani fears of a nation – Pashtoonistan and also,of the Iranians – w.r.t Border disputes and Jundallah presence in Afghanistan and Balochistan !