Part I Forecasted Conflict Scenario Now that the actors, their ambitions, and motivating interests have been touched upon, one can move on to forecasting their expected behavior in a Nagorno-Karabakh continuation war. It is predicted that such a conflict will likely have five stages of logical progression, but given the […]
Author: Andrew KORYBKO
Nagorno-Karabakh and the Domino Destabilization of Disaster (I)
The formerly frozen conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh is showing rapid signs of thawing, unleashing the prospect of a renewed war between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Last week, a total of 15 soldiers were killed from both sides in what was the worst ceasefire violation in the 20 years since it was first […]
Ukraine’s Dystopian Descent into Military Dictatorship
The Ukrainian state continues its slow-motion collapse, this time with Poroshenko seeking to deal a death blow to the last remnants of the Rada. He has accused “half of the Verkhovna Rada” of being “a ‘fifth column’ which is controlled from abroad, whole factions” after they did not pass a […]
The American Aggression Enabling Act and the US’ Eurasian Thrust (II)
Part I Part II: Destabilization by Design The second thrust of the US’ aggression in Eurasia is the purposeful destabilization of Russia’s interests in the Near Abroad. Specifically, the AAEA’s provisions would lead to an endangered security situation for Belarus, mayhem in Moldova, and an aggravation of the Nagorno-Karabakh situation […]
The American Aggression Enabling Act and the US’ Eurasian Thrust (I)
Congressional Hawks have been peddling the idea of a “Russian Aggression Prevention Act” since the beginning of May, but it has only been during the recent media-inspired hysteria that it began to gain traction. If passed into law, it would amount to a sweeping NATO offensive across all of Russia’s […]
The Slow-Motion Collapse of the Ukrainian State and the Rada’s Capitulation
Acting Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk recently announced his resignation from the government amidst parliamentary infighting in the Rada, supposedly over none of the factions wanting to take the fall for the upcoming suicidal IMF stipulations. (His desire to leave off the hook ahead of the coming economic and social […]
The US’ MH17 End Game: Shadow NATO in Ukraine and Russia as a ‘State Sponsor of Terrorism’
The Ukrainian Civil War took a violent and headline-grabbing international turn for the worst on 17 July following the downing of Flight MH17. Although it appears more and more likely that it was the Ukrainian Army that shot it down and not the anti-Kiev Resistance, pro-Western media has been aggressively […]
The Reverse Brzezinski: The Ultimate Eurasian Dilemma (II)
Part I Towards the Lead From Behind Strategy and Its Official Acceptance: Conventional (forceful) regime change strategies (Panama, Afghanistan, Iraq) were possible in a unipolar world, but with the unipolar moment fading, the US has been compelled to revive the Lead From Behind template first flirted with during the Soviet-Afghan […]
The Reverse Brzezinski: The Ultimate Eurasian Dilemma (I)
Introduction: A global shift in US strategy is currently underway, with America transitioning from the ‘world policeman’ to the Lead From Behind mastermind. This fundamental shift essentially entails the US moving from a majority forward-operating military to a defensive stay-behind force. Part of this transformation is the reduction of the […]
Ethnic and cultural cleansing in Ukraine
On the centennial anniversary of “Russophilic” individuals (Rusyns) from modern-day Ukraine being sent to concentration camps, history appears set to once again repeat itself. The Ukrainian Defense Minister has publicly voiced his plan to corral the citizens of Donbass into special “filtration” camps prior to forcibly resettling them in different […]
Sikorski and Dziewulski: The Strategy and Tactics of the Neo-Commonwealth
As the war in the southeast of (former) Ukraine rages on, more proof is emerging of active Polish participation there. This participation has thus far been indirect (i.e. no official Polish military units), although this does not mean that it is no less lethal. Not only has Poland been complicit […]
The Lessons and Consequences of World War I: Back to the Future? (II)
Part I PART II: CONSEQUENCES Dark Horses These are the unintended consequences that occur due to grand manipulations and plans gone awry. They are impossible to accurately predict, and they may only sometimes seem expected in hindsight. Dark horses are the wild cards that surprisingly alter the dynamic at play […]





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