The latest leadership changes in Ethiopia and Myanmar indicate that there are serious problems behind the scenes in both states and that the US’ Hybrid War campaigns have worked to the extent that they’ve begun to produce visible results in shaking up the state of affairs in both countries.
Western interests in the Congo are premised on cheap access to strategic minerals, not humanitarian concerns, cynically suggesting that this might horrifyingly be the US’ fallback strategy if Kabila goes through with his mining code reform.
President Cyril Ramaphosa might have more ulterior intentions in mind, since he came to power on the back of a so-called “deep state” coup, becoming the party’s leader under contentious circumstances late last year.
The destabilization of Djibouti will inevitably have negative consequences for China’s regional and Silk Road interests, thereby making the most recent developments yet another example of how the US-Chinese proxy struggle is rapidly reaching every corner of the world.
The security situation is made all the more pronounced by the fact that some of the ethnic minority groups opposed to the government are armed and reported to receive assistance from Ethiopia’s neighboring foe Eritrea.
For as liberal as Germany is on the domestic and continental front, its leadership embraces ruthless realism when it comes to non-European affairs in Africa and the Mideast.
Egypt and Eritrea both deny that any troops were sent to Sawa, but some reports indicate that this move was actually in response to Turkey clinching a deal to develop the Sudanese island of Suakin near Port Sudan late last year.
The upcoming draft proposal to legalize private military companies in Russia could give the country a competitive edge over its rivals by helping it carve out a valuable and much-demanded niche as a reliable security provider.
Two most significant metanarratives influencing events all across Africa are the US’ War on Terror and China’s One Belt One Road global vision of New Silk Road connectivity.
The U.S., along with the other Western powers, virtually abandoned the nations of Africa as soon as they had overthrown their colonial masters.
The African Migrant Crisis has triggered an Italian military response in Libya and Niger and risks embroiling Rome even deeper in the continent’s affairs as it resorts to military means to proactively stem the tidal wave of “Weapons of Mass Migration” crashing onto its shores.
An exclusive strategic forecast of the political and security developments in Africa for the Year 2018, by the author of Sputnik radio’s Context Countdown program.