China was wise enough to not overreact and fall into the trap that was being prepared for it, but the incident must have alerted it to the likelihood that a third party – presumably the US – is working through shadowy channels in order to engineer scenarios for damaging its ties with Kenya and probably other African countries as well.
Successfully proving the concept that Russian-Emirati cooperation can bring tangibly positive dividends in other countries such as Eritrea might also open up the door for Abu Dhabi to invite Moscow into South Yemen.
Former regional president Omar’s removal makes this possible and can allow Prime Minister Abiy to finally begin making serious progress on implementing this vision all across the nation as he strives to pioneer an Ethiopian Renaissance and turn his cosmopolitan country into an African Great Power.
It would be unfair to render a verdict on the victims’ judgement when it was Khodorkovsky’s responsibility to ensure that they were properly trained and made aware of how to most safely conduct themselves in this very dangerous country.
The Horn of Africa is on the cusp of profound change that could soon see more comprehensive Ethiopian-led integrational proposals such as streamlining economic and trade coordination within the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and eventually pairing the bloc with the East African Community.
The Pakistani Navy is just the latest party to express an interest in these waterways and the hinterland markets that their terminal ports lead to, thus confirming the trend that the center of naval gravity is shifting in the direction of the Horn of Africa because of strategic economic reasons.
Altogether, the prime takeaway from the UAE’s hosting of the Ethiopian & Eritrean leaders and its awarding of the highest state honor to each of them is that Abu Dhabi is signaling to the world that it’s capable of punching well above its geopolitical weight and has indisputably become a transregional Great Power in spite of its tiny size.
If China and India joined forces to coordinate their developmental policies towards a certain African state or even entire region as a whole, then they’d remove the chance for any wasteful redundancies between them and resultantly improve the efficiency of their comprehensive strategies.
Connecting Nigeria to the emerging Multipolar World Order through China’s interlinked oil, financial, and developmental deals is a step in the right direction, but it’ll nevertheless take more than the “petroyuan” and railroads to save this failing state, but if Beijing is successful, then it might also end up saving Europe from the Migrant Crisis 2.0.
The tragic result is that the world’s youngest nation is now at the bottom of almost all development indexes and has become the perfect example of a modern-day failed state, one which exists only in name but in reality is about to become an informal extension of its two most militarily involved neighbors by proxy.
Whether intentionally or not, actors such as Kilimanjaro Capital function as key players in advancing Hybrid Wars all across the world because of the self-interested stake that they have in seeing them succeed so that they can reap a massively profitable return on their “investments”.
Whether in Ethiopia, Saudi Arabia, or even the US, visionary leaders appear to be under attack by their “deep state” foes, with the prevalence of high-level but largely unseen intra-state conflicts forming an inextricable part of the New Cold War.