The unprecedented upsurge in violence along the Line of Contact between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh has raised universal concern that a larger conflict might be brewing, with some analysts seeing it as an outgrowth of Turkey’s destabilizing anti-Russian policies over the past couple of months. As attractive as it […]
Caucasus
Germany Might Be Trying To Steal SOCAR’s Main Asset In Greece
The Greek Crisis has been a long-running drama that’s sucked in all of Europe (and even involved Russia to an extent), but for the most part, it hasn’t directly touched any of the Union’s peripheral countries. That may change, however, after the latest twist coming out of Athens. Per the […]
How the West plans to prevent the SCO from mediating in Nagorno-Karabakh
The first two parts of this series explained why the OSCE Minsk Group is inadequate for resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and why the SCO is the only realistic alternative for doing so. This final piece will look at how the US intends to stop that from happening, and what Azerbaijan […]
SCO will be the new framework for resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
Azerbaijan and Armenia are slated to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization as observer members during the group’s meeting this July, according to SCO General Secretary Dmitry Mezentsev. This gives Baku a fortuitous chance to finally move past the failed OSCE Minsk Group format and into a new framework that would […]
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: the OSCE Minsk Group is obsolete
The official framework for dealing with the Nagorno-Karabakh issue is the OSCE Minsk Group, but given its ineffectiveness in making concrete progress in the past two decades, it appears as though it’s time of relevance has passed. Clearly, the old method of dealing with the crisis simply hasn’t worked, and […]
The Azeri-Russian Gas Gambit In Greece
Azerbaijan is uniquely poised to assist Russia in its planned ‘Balkan Stream’ gas pipeline through Greece, but it would need to receive tangible economic benefits in exchange for its pivotal cooperation. Russia’s Vision Russia is actively moving towards resurrecting the cancelled South Stream project, understanding that the European and Balkan […]
Azerbaijan should be very afraid of Nuland
The US’ Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, Victoria Nuland, visited Baku on 16 February as part of her trip to the Caucasus, which also saw her paying stops in Georgia and Armenia. While Azerbaijan has had positive relations with the US since independence, they’ve lately been […]
The Coming EU-Eurasian Union Crisis In The Caucasus
The EU and Eurasian Union are gearing up for a coming clash in the Caucasus, one which may replicate the far-reaching consequences of the competition over Ukraine. At the core of the oncoming crisis is that Georgia is moving towards the EU while Armenia is joining the Eurasian Union, with […]
Separatism in Kosovo and the Caucasus: Similarities and Differences
After February 2008 when Kosovo Albanian-dominated Parliament proclaimed Kosovo independence (without organizing referendum) with obvious US diplomatic support (unilateral recognition) with explanation that the Kosovo case is unique in the World (i.e., it will be not repeated again) one can ask the question: is the problem of the southern Serbian […]
Black Sea Strategy –Threshold of World War?
The article Ukraine, Iraq and a Black Sea Strategy by George Friedman came into focus of international experts’ attention. The author is known to make no bones about it when he expresses his opinion. While others wrote about European values, democracy and open society to take hold in Ukraine, he devoted his […]
Nagorno-Karabakh and the Domino Destabilization of Disaster (II)
Part I Forecasted Conflict Scenario Now that the actors, their ambitions, and motivating interests have been touched upon, one can move on to forecasting their expected behavior in a Nagorno-Karabakh continuation war. It is predicted that such a conflict will likely have five stages of logical progression, but given the […]
Nagorno-Karabakh and the Domino Destabilization of Disaster (I)
The formerly frozen conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh is showing rapid signs of thawing, unleashing the prospect of a renewed war between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Last week, a total of 15 soldiers were killed from both sides in what was the worst ceasefire violation in the 20 years since it was first […]





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