Iran

Russian diplomacy

Russian Diplomacy In The Middle East

The political changes which have been transforming the Middle East for the last two months are not the result of the destruction of any of the protagonists, but the evolution of the Iranian, Turkish and Emirati points of view. Where the military might of the United States has failed, the subtlety of Russian diplomacy has succeeded.

Supertanker Grace I

Caught In The Strait

The seizures of vessels constitute a recipe for a tit-for-tat calamity.  We are already seeing the bitter fruit of the harvest arising out of the seizure of Grace I. Two oil tankers – the UK registered Stena Impero, and the Mesdar, another Liberian registered vessel though British operated – were subsequently seized in the Strait of Hormuz.

Shinzo

The Recent Japanese Elections Might Slow Down The US’ “Indo-Pacific” Strategy

Last month’s Japanese elections saw Prime Minister Abe’s ruling bloc lose its two-thirds parliamentary supermajority needed to change the country’s pacifist constitution, which could seriously slow down the US’ “Indo-Pacific” strategy, especially regarding the formation of an anti-Iranian naval coalition in the Gulf and the possible military expansion of the […]

Trump and Xi

Juggling With The Authoritarians: Donald Trump’s Diplomatic Copy Book

The central theme to Trump’s copy book can be said to be this: to conserve a cosy position with one authoritarian regime necessitates a punitive approach to another.  A calculus for the voter comes into play: you can only fool the electors some of the time.  To that end, much has been leveraged on the anti-China sentiment and chest thumping before the Iranian mullahs.