East Asia

Power of Siberia

China Won’t Mix Russia With US Ties

Quite obviously, Beijing will never mix its respective relationships with Russia and the US, especially by teaming up with Moscow to challenge Washington. The US remains the most important partnership for China. Equally, the same can be said for Moscow as well — although from a different perspective of security and strategic stability.

Gorbachev and Reagan

Back To The Dear Old Cold War

President Donald Trump and the neocon sofa samurais who surround him seem determined to pick a fight with China or Russia, or both at the same time. Later this month, the US and China are due to try to end their long-running trade war which has damaged the economies of […]

Debris Of INF Treaty Will Fall Far And Wide

The US-Russia talks in Geneva regarding the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty have ended in failure. In a final call to salvage the treaty, Moscow offered that American experts could inspect a new suspect Russian missile, which Washington has been citing as the alibi for its decision to quite […]

C’est Toujours La Même Chose

C’est Toujours La Même Chose

To quote Field Marshal Montgomery, who had more experience in big wars and standing on the victory podium than any US general since MacArthur: “Rule 1, on page 1 of the book of war, is: ‘Do not march on Moscow’”. His second rule, by the way, was: “Do not go fighting with your land armies in China.”

United States and China fight

Some Confucian Calm, Please

The United States and China look like two punch-drunk prizefighters squaring off for a major championship fight. They have no good reason to fight and every reason to cooperate now that both their stock markets have been in turmoil. Six hundred point market swings down and then up look like […]

2018 results

2018: The Tipping Point

Over the last few years, the sense that world events are accelerating in a way that is increasingly difficult to keep up with has become tangible. At talks I often ask my audiences the same question. ‘Have you experienced a sense of acceleration in world events in recent years? That […]