Just as disturbing of a scenario for the US is if this has a knock-on effect that enhances Chinese influence in Mexico after its leftist president-elect AMLO takes office at the beginning of December, thereby representing an unprecedented challenge to the US’ political dominance in the entire Western Hemisphere.
The resultant dilemma is extremely delicate for all sides because the US can’t risk Central America failing even more than it already is – largely due to Washington’s own military, economic, and political policies towards it – because this could catalyze a chain reaction of destabilization that might lead to overwhelming numbers of migrants fleeing north towards its border.
Instead of coming off as a brilliant “balancing” move that makes a variety of disparate countries stakeholders in its stability, Nicaragua’s military decree appears more and more like a clumsy attempt to hide its leadership’s capitulation to the US.
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