(Please read Part I, Part II, and Part III prior to this article) The research has exhaustively explained all of the relevant Hybrid War variables in Myanmar, and will now transition to its final section in forecasting the various scenario branches that this type of conflict could take. Before proceeding, […]
Tag: Myanmar
Hybrid Wars 7. How The US Could Manufacture A Mess In Myanmar (III)
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Neophytes might understandably feel intimidated when they begin delving deep into Myanmar’s internal complexities, finding out firsthand why the country’s civil war is perhaps the world’s most difficult to comprehend. There’s an overwhelming amount of information available about the […]
Hybrid Wars 7. How The US Could Manufacture A Mess In Myanmar (II)
(Please read Part I prior to this article) The Unipolar Transition Structural And Social Preconditioning: Although the Saffron Revolution failed in achieving its regime change goals, what it did succeed in was sending an ominous warning sign to the Myanmar generals of the sort of destabilization scenarios that they could […]
Hybrid Wars 7. How The US Could Manufacture A Mess In Myanmar (I)
The last ASEAN country to be studied within the book is Myanmar, which is by far the most susceptible of the entire bunch to Hybrid War. Truth be told, it’s been experiencing some form or another of Hybrid War since its independence in 1948, although this mostly took the form […]
Hybrid Wars 3. Predicting Next Hybrid Wars
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Theoretical Review Identifying The Targets: The first two parts of the series introduced new concepts to the Hybrid War theory and successfully tested them on the Syrian and Ukrainian cases. This proved that a certain methodology does in fact […]
ASEAN’s SEZs Can Help Actualize Russia’s Asian Sea Arc
Russia is in the midst of a transformational geo-economic pivot, whereby its previous Western-prioritized economic relations are rapidly moving towards Asia. As part of this historic shift, Russia seeks to spearhead three North-South vectors of trade, with the subject of this article being the one directed towards ASEAN. The Asian […]
Myanmar: Drawn-Out Peace Or Battle Lines Drawn? (II)
(Please read Part I prior to this article) The first part of the series addressed the Nationwide Ceasefire Accord (NCA) and the strategic geography resulting thereof, while this concluding section forecasts the three progressively intensifying post-election scenarios for where the polarized tension is headed. Because of its length, it’s divided […]
Myanmar: Drawn-Out Peace Or Battle Lines Drawn? (I)
Myanmar passed an historic milestone on 15 October, signing into effect what its government terms to be a “Nationwide Ceasefire Accord” (NCA) between itself and eight ethnically centered rebel organizations. As positive of a step as this may notionally be towards resolving the world’s longest-running civil war, it’s substantially without […]
Myanmar and mysterious soft coup attempt (II)
(Please read Part I prior to this article) The Fog Of Hybrid War Creeps Over The Irrawaddy Myanmar’s already fragile domestic stability has been further undermined by this soft coup attempt and the subsequent high-risks game being played out through Suu Kyi and Shwe Mann’s public alliance against the government. […]
Myanmar and mysterious soft coup attempt (I)
An unexpected change of ruling party leadership took place in Myanmar in mid-August after troops were dispatched in a late-night mission to remove Thura U Shwe Mann from the Union Solidarity and Development Party’s (USDP) headquarters. The Central Executive Committee was also reshuffled almost immediately afterwards after many of its […]
A “Secular ISIL” Rises In Southeast Asia (II)
(Please read Part I before this article) Clash Of Interests A triad of Great Power interests intersects in the confined area of the India-Myanmar border, and each actor has differing objectives, motivations, and apprehensions. When one includes Myanmar itself into the foray, a ‘quarrelling quartet’ of contradictory trajectories emerges: Myanmar: […]
A “Secular ISIL” Rises In Southeast Asia (I)
India just carried out one of its largest-ever covert operations in peacetime, striking a Myanmar-based terrorist group and killing over 100 of its members. The National Socialist Council of Nagaland (Khaplang), known more popularly by its initials NSCN-K, was targeted because of the terrorist attack it pulled off last week […]
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