There is no way that Russia’s expanded military-energy presence in Lebanon is against Israel’s interests, but is actually to its regional advantage in the sense that it seeks to replace Saudi Arabia’s recently declining role in the country and therefore “counterbalance” Iranian influence.
Tag: Oil Politics
Rosneft chief executive Igor Sechin announced that his company signed a roadmap to invest the mind-numbingly large sum of $30 billion in the Iranian energy sector.
In order to understand the hype surrounding the phenomena of Islamic radicalism and terrorism, we need to understand the prevailing global economic order and its prognosis. What the pragmatic economists have forecast about the free market capitalism has turned out to be true; whether we like it or not. A […]
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Turkmenistan: The threat facing Turkmenistan is less of a Color Revolution than an Unconventional War. The catalyst for this conflict would be a terrorist invasion coming from Afghanistan that unexpectedly sweeps northwards along the Murgab River. Such an offensive […]
Russia’s decision to greatly reduce its military presence in Syria, coming as it did with little warning, has left the world struggling for explanations. Russia is to maintain a military presence at its naval base in Tartous and at the Khmeymim airbase. In fact Russia is “withdrawing without withdrawing”. The […]
(Please read Part I before this article) The first part of the article touched upon the defining elements that constitute the paradigm shift created by the Coalition of the Righteous (COR), so it’s time to examine the geopolitical consequences of this game-changing development. Each observation deals either with an analyzed […]
(Please read Part I, Part II, and Part III prior to this concluding piece) All of the previously acquired information from the three earlier parts allows one to form four phased scenario forecasts that help predict the contours and consequences of the US-Iran and Russia-Saudi Arabia ‘reorientations’. The first one […]
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Perceptions & Motivations The third part of the series deals with the perceptions and motivations behind the possible polar reorientations. Much can be discussed in terms of these broad topics, but for comprehension’s sake, they’re split into eight separate […]
(Please read Part I before this article) The second part of the article series speaks upon the Russian-Saudi relationship that’s emerging in the Mideast, and it proves that it’s really not all that surprising in retrospect when one considers the motivating factors (energy, ISIL, and the Iranian deal) that affect […]
Political developments are moving extraordinarily fast in the Mideast nowadays, with Russian and American diplomacy being the primary catalysts. Moscow has teamed up with Tehran to kick-start a new round of Syrian reconciliation talks, and it’s working with Riyadh in an effort to get the latter to agree to its […]
Turkey has been acting pretty erratic these past couple of weeks, launching a surprise dual offensive in Syria and Iraq, condemning Russia for alleged ‘oppression’ against the Crimean Tatars, and suspending the Balkan Stream pipeline negotiations. All of this is somewhat unexpected – after all, Turkey had thus far refrained […]
Yemen has the potential of becoming the Afghanistan of the Gulf coalition. The Soviets in their aspiration towards the Indian Ocean were forced to abandon Afghanistan because of terrain and economic difficulties. Are the US and the Gulf monarchies aspiring of getting to the ocean or is it just to […]