The prevailing trends that will shape European events over the next year are the struggle between the EuroRealists and EuroLiberals in deciding the future of the EU, the rise of the “Three Seas Initiative” as a US-backed “cordon sanitaire” between Russia and Germany, and American meddling in the conflict-prone Balkans.
Tag: Three Seas initiative
Nord Stream II is thus a double-edged sword for the US because it would cut into its profitable LNG business but would at the same time provide the strategic pretext for “legitimizing” its expanded presence in Poland and the Baltics.
The evident pattern on display is that the center of Europe’s strategic gravity is slowly but surely shifting eastward away from Germany and towards Poland & Sweden, with these two “has-been” Great Powers coming together through a new cooperative framework in order to build the Baltic Ring connectivity corridor that they plan to link up with China via the New Silk Roads.
It might be morally outrageous for the government to want to decriminalize some corruption offenses, but there’s really no other way to stop the never-ending cycle of political tumult unless they “legalize” the small-time criminals and separate them from the big-time ones.
Thus far the most newsworthy efforts in this sphere have recently been those related to the Hungarian minority in Ukraine’s western region of Transcarpathia, but the situation in Transylvania might be even more important.