The full potential of the Chinese-Iranian rail route isn’t being exploited because it depends on older infrastructure that avoids some of Central Asia’s most populous and economically productive cities by hugging the peripheral borders of its Kazkh and Turkmen transit states.
The late Uzbekistani President was ill-equipped for adapting to the New Silk Road Century that China is pioneering through its One Belt One Road vision.
(Please read Parts I, II, III, and IV prior to this article) The Ethnic Time Bomb Of Greater Uzbekistan Central Asia’s most glaring socio-political vulnerability is the idea of a Greater Uzbekistan that links the titular state with its neighboring diaspora in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. The following are situational […]
(Please read Parts I, II, and III prior to this article) The US’ History Of Regional Revolution Attempts The most significant destabilizing scenario that could ever occur in Central Asia is an “Arab Spring”-like event that ravages the region and irreversibly upsets its existing political balance. The interesting aspect about […]
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Turkmenistan: The threat facing Turkmenistan is less of a Color Revolution than an Unconventional War. The catalyst for this conflict would be a terrorist invasion coming from Afghanistan that unexpectedly sweeps northwards along the Murgab River. Such an offensive […]
(Please read Part I and Part II prior to this article) Theoretical Review Identifying The Targets: The first two parts of the series introduced new concepts to the Hybrid War theory and successfully tested them on the Syrian and Ukrainian cases. This proved that a certain methodology does in fact […]
Something’s cooking in Uzbekistan, and it’s not just plov. The country’s political stability is on the line, as a power struggle is underway for control in a post-Karimov reality that is soon approaching. Karimov himself has been increasingly sidelined as of late, even being pressured to allow his own daughter, […]
_ Part I Part II Part III Smashing Systematically The pipeline wars are real wars, in that two or more nations are ordering their civilian and military foot soldiers, on a daily basis, into life or death contests to the finish. For the United States, it is a contest which […]
Part I Part II Representatives from all of the secret agencies of the Stans, except for Turkmenistan, have come together in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan to identify a common threat in Central Asia, emanating from a non-existent terrorist underground (SEE: Secret services say about the presence in Central Asia, domestic extremist underground). […]
Part I In the grand scheme of things, as conceived inside Washington, D.C., the world is a three-dimensional chess board, much like the ones seen on Star Trek, or more accurately, like the modern game called “Risk.” For those unfamiliar with this popular cult board game, it is literally a […]
By Alexander Shustov (Russia) The present list of top 10 developments in Central Asia in 2010 was compiled on the basis of the author’s assessment of their impact on the region’s political and socioeconomic landscape. In any case, the developments surveyed below will likely have enduring repercussions for Central Asia. […]